Week 7 NFL Props – Best Player Props to Bet for Sunday, October 24

Aaron Rodgers arms up in TD signal

Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (12) celebrates a touchdown in the first half of an NFL football game, against the Minnesota Vikings, Sunday, Sept. 13, 2020, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Jim Mone)

Online sports betting sites have opened NFL player props for Week 7
There are eight NFL props Matt McEwan is highlighting for Sunday
See all the props available and our best bets below

Week 7 of the 2021 NFL season, also known as “Byemaggedon”, continues on Sunday. But with six teams on bye this week—the most we see in a single week all season—there are only ten games in the first two blocks on Sunday. This means fewer player props to choose from! (Not to worry, I still found more than enough to bet.)

Some bad luck with Kadarius Toney getting hurt early last week resulted in us losing 1.13 units last week, going 3-5. We’re still 12-10 over the last three weeks and are +2.82 units in that time.

You’ll find the NFL player props for Week 7 broken into sections below, with our best prop bets for each included.

Passing | Rushing | Receiving | Touchdown Props

NFL Passing Props

Quarterback
Completions
Passing Yards
Passing TDs

Joe Burrow (CIN)
22.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
257.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov -145 | Un +110)

Lamar Jackson (BAL)
19.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
238.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)

Taylor Heinicke (WAS)
22.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
237.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov +125 | Un -165)

Aaron Rodgers (GB)
22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
259.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)
2.5 (Ov +165 | Un -225)

Matt Ryan (ATL)
23.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114)
281.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov -230 | Un +170)

Tua Tagovailoa (MIA)
24.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
261.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov -105 | Un -130)

Zach Wilson (NYJ)
19.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
224.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov +150 | Un -205)

Mac Jones (NE)
22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
245.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov -140 | Un +105)

Sam Darnold (CAR)
21.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
234.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov +110 | Un -145)

Daniel Jones (NYG)
20.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100)
232.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov +140 | Un -190)

Patrick Mahomes (KC)
28.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135)
323.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
2.5 (Ov -145 | Un +110)

Ryan Tannehill (TEN)
22.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
248.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)

Jared Goff (DET)
25.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
265.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)

Matthew Stafford (LAR)
23.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140)
290.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
2.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)

Jalen Hurts (PHI)
22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
246.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov +100 | Un -135)

Derek Carr (LV)
23.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
287.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov -210 | Un +155)

Davis Mills (HOU)
20.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
228.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov +150 | Un -200)

Kyler Murray (ARI)
23.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135)
263.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
2.5 (Ov +130 | Un -175)

Justin Fields (CHI)
19.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
220.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov +185 | Un -255)

Tom Brady (TB)
26.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135)
298.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
2.5 (Ov +125 | Un -170)

All props as of October 23.

Looking to the two blocks of early games on Sunday, excluding Sunday Night Football, Patrick Mahomes possesses the highest passing total for the week, set at 323.5. Justin Fields has the lowest at 220.5.

 

 

Best Passing Props to Bet for Week 7

1) Aaron Rodgers OVER 259.5 Passing Yards (-113); risk 0.5 units

Aaron Rodgers is only averaging 239.3 passing yards per game this season. But that low average needs some context. In Week 1, Rodgers only threw for 133 yards in what was maybe the worst performance we’ve ever seen from him—he only played about three quarters of Green Bay’s offensive snaps as well.

Four words that will echo through #Packers history:

“I. Still. Own. You.”

– Aaron Rodgers pic.twitter.com/xF6sIjOjIf

— Eli Berkovits (@BookOfEli_NFL) October 23, 2021

Last week, Rodgers only posted 195 yards against a pretty good Bears pass defense. His next lowest passing total came against a decent Steelers pass defense in Week 4, where he recorded 248 yards through the air. He will not be facing a good defense against the pass this week, as Washington ranks last in the league.

The Football Team has allowed at least 271 passing yards in five of their six games this season, and just saw the Chiefs hang 390 on them.

2) Matt Ryan OVER 23.5 Completions (-114); risk 1 unit

Matt Ryan is averaging 28.2 completions per game this season, and has gone over 23 in four of five—he went under in Week 1. In what’s expected to be a close game against the Dolphins, I like him to go over that total again.

Caesars Sportsbook Offers $5K Risk-Free Bet on NFL Week 7, CFB Week 8, and MLB Playoffs

I don’t believe Atlanta is a good enough team to get themselves into a positive game script—see Week 5 against the Jets and Week 3 against the Giants—and Miami’s defense hasn’t had much success slowing down the aerial attack. The Dolphins have allowed the fourth-most passing yards per game this season, giving up 312 and 437 in the last two weeks.

Atlanta will look to attack this defense through the air, and Ryan will have no issue finding Calvin Ridley, Kyle Pitts, and Cordarrelle Patterson, among others.

NFL Rushing Props

Player
Rush Attempts
Rush Yards
Rushing + Receiving Yards

Joe Mixon (CIN)
15.5 (Ov -110 | Un -115)
56.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
77.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Lamar Jackson (BAL)

60.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Antonio Gibson (WAS)

48.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
62.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Aaron Jones (GB)

66.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
95.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Mike Davis (ATL)
12.5 (Ov -115 | Un -110)
46.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
63.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Cordarrelle Patterson (ATL)

37.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
77.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114)

Michael Carter (NYJ)
11.5 (Ov -110 | Un -115)
44.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
60.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Damien Harris (NE)
14.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100)
65.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
75.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Chuba Hubbard (CAR)
18.5 (Ov -110 | Un -115)
74.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
95.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Darrel Williams (KC)
14.5 (Ov -110 | Un -115)
57.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
77.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Derrick Henry (TEN)
25.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
128.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
153.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

D’Andre Swift (DET)
12.5 (Ov +110 | Un -145)
42.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
92.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Darrell Henderson (LAR)
16.5 (Ov -135 | Un +110)
82.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
106.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Miles Sanders (PHI)
9.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
63.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
84.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Josh Jacobs (LV)

57.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
76.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Mark Ingram (HOU)
10.5 (Ov -140 | Un +105)
41.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
48.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

James Conner (ARI)
13.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
53.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
63.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Leonard Fournette (TB)
15.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
62.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
96.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

The highest rushing total of the week belongs to the Titans’ Derrick Henry. Sportsbooks are listing his over/under at 128.5 when he takes on the Chiefs in Week 7.

Best Rushing Props to Bet for Week 7

1) Cordarrelle Patterson OVER 77.5 Rushing & Receiving Yards (-114); risk 0.5 units

In the Falcons’ last three games, Cordarrelle Patterson is averaging 110.7 rushing and receiving yards per game. In that time, he’s averaging 15 touches per game. Patterson saw some extended work in their last game against the Jets, when he was given 14 carries. This marked the first time this season he received more carries than backfield mate Mike Davis.

This is how good Cordarrelle Patterson has been for the Falcons this season:

Team Rank
173 rush yds 2nd
41 rush att 2nd
25 receptions 2nd
295 rec yds 2nd
5 total TD 1st pic.twitter.com/v9WAJNvK2w

— CBS Sports HQ (@CBSSportsHQ) October 20, 2021

Simply put, Patterson is an absolute weapon. I suspect Atlanta spent their bye week figuring out how to get him more involved in the offense. The Dolphins defense will not have an answer for Patterson on Sunday.

NFL Receiving Props

Player
Receptions
Receiving Yards
Longest Reception

Ja’Marr Chase (CIN)
4.5 (Ov -145 | Un +110)
71.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
26.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)

Tee Higgins (CIN)
4.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
55.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
21.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)

Tyler Boyd (CIN)
4.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
40.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
17.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Mark Andrews (BAL)
4.5 (Ov -150 | Un +115)
60.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
21.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)

Marquise Brown (BAL)
4.5 (Ov +100 | Un -140)
58.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
23.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)

Davante Adams (GB)
7.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100)
95.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
26.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)

Calvin Ridley (ATL)

73.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
24.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)

Kyle Pitts (ATL)
4.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
48.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
19.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)

Mike Gesicki (MIA)

42.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
18.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Corey Davis (NYJ)
3.5 (Ov -165 | Un +125)
53.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
20.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)

Jamison Crowder (NYJ)
4.5 (Ov +110 | Un -145)
51.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
24.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)

Jakobi Meyers (NE)
5.5 (Ov +120 | Un -160)
60.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Nelson Agholor (NE)
2.5 (Ov -165 | Un +125)
34.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
20.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

DJ Moore (CAR)
6.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
77.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)
24.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)

Robby Anderson (CAR)
4.5 (Ov +115 | Un -155)
45.5 (Ov -120 | Un -115)
18.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)

Travis Kelce (KC)
6.5 (Ov -135 | Un +110)
83.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
24.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)

Tyreek Hill (KC)
6.5 (Ov -145 | Un +110)
85.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
25.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)

Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET)
4.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
46.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
18.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

T.J. Hockenson (DET)
4.5 (Ov -140 | Un +105)
48.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
18.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Cooper Kupp (LAR)
7.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
95.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
28.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)

Robert Woods (LAR)
5.5 (Ov +110 | Un -150)
64.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
23.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

DeVonta Smith (PHI)
4.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100)
58.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
22.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)

Quez Watkins (PHI)
2.5 (Ov -130 | Un -105)
41.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
19.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Darren Waller (LV)
5.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
62.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
21.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Henry Ruggs III (LV)
2.5 (Ov -180 | Un +135)
48.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
24.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Hunter Renfrow (LV)
4.5 (Ov -160 | Un +120)
58.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
22.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)

Brandin Cooks (HOU)
5.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100)
69.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
23.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

AJ Green (ARI)
3.5 (Ov +120 | Un -155)
40.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
19.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

DeAndre Hopkins (ARI)
5.5 (Ov -150 | Un +110)
70.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
23.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Allen Robinson II (CHI)
4.5 (Ov +115 | Un -150)
54.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
21.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)

Darnell Mooney (CHI)
4.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135)
51.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
20.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)

Chris Godwin (TB)
5.5 (Ov -155 | Un +120)
71.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
23.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Mike Evans (TB)
4.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100)
67.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
24.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)

Davante Adams and Cooper Kupp are tied for the highest receiving total in Week 7 at 95.5. The next closest is Tyreek Hill at 85.5.

Best Receiving Props to Bet for Week 7

1) DJ Moore OVER 77.5 Receiving Yards (-113); risk 0.5 units

DJ Moore did not play his best game in Week 6 against the Vikings. He had a couple bad drops, one of them coming in the endzone. It was the second week in a row Moore posted an underwhelming total, but still managed 73 yards on five receptions.

Most receiving yards since 2019:

Stefon Diggs 3,128
Travis Kelce 3,113
Davante Adams 3,039
DeAndre Hopkins 2,939
D.J. Moore 2,881 pic.twitter.com/sTQ1wAK1JD

— NFL on CBS 🏈 (@NFLonCBS) October 20, 2021

In the first four weeks of the season, Moore had at least 79 receiving yards in each game and averaged 99.5 per game. With Carolina starting to get a little desperate—they have now dropped three straight games—and a game against the Giants scheduled in Week 7, I love the Panthers to feed their best player—CMC is still out, to be clear.

Touchdown Props

Team
Odds to Score 1st TD
Odds to Score Any TD

Joe Mixon (CIN)
+900
+140

 Ja’Marr Chase (CIN)
+1000
+170

Tee Higgins (CIN)
+1300
+175

Lamar Jackson (BAL)
+850
+125

Devonta Freeman (BAL)
+1000
+140

Marquise Brown (BAL)
+1000
+140

Antonio Gibson (WAS)
+1000
+130

J.D. McKissic (WAS)
+1000
+130

Terry McLaurin (WAS)
+1200
+175

Davante Adams (GB)
+550
-165

Aaron Jones (GB)
+600
-140

Allen Lazard (GB)
+1400
+210

Calvin Ridley (ATL)
+800
+115

Mike Davis (ATL)
+1000
+160

Cordarrelle Patterson (ATL)
+1000
+150

Myles Gaskin (MIA)
+1200
+190

DeVante Parker (MIA)
+1200
+180

Jaylen Waddle (MIA)
+1200
+175

Michael Carter (NYJ)
+1000
+190

Corey Davis (NYJ)
+1200
+225

Jamison Crowder (NYJ)
+1300
+230

Damien Harris (NE)
+600
-110

Jakobi Meyers (NE)
+900
+150

Hunter Henry (NE)
+1100
+175

Chuba Hubbard (CAR)
+600
-145

DJ Moore (CAR)
+750
+145

Robby Anderson (CAR)
+1100
+230

Devontae Booker (NYG)
+650
+140

Sterling Shepard (NYG)
+1000
+200

Darius Slayton (NYG)
+1000
+200

Tyreek Hill (KC)
+650
-150

Travis Kelce (KC)
+650
-150

Darrel Williams (KC)
+850
-105

Derrick Henry (TEN)
+500
-225

AJ Brown (TEN)
+1200
+140

Julio Jones (TEN)
+1800
+200

D’Andre Swift (DET)
+1000
+130

T.J. Hockenson (DET)
+1400
+200

Kalif Raymond (DET)
+1800
+270

Darrell Henderson (LAR)
+450
-215

Cooper Kupp (LAR)
+550
-150

Robert Woods (LAR)
+850
+100

Jalen Hurts (PHI)
+850
+150

Miles Sanders (PHI)
+900
+130

Devonta Smith (PHI)
+1000
+140

Darren Waller (LV)
+700
-105

Josh Jacobs (LV)
+850
+120

Henry Ruggs III (LV)
+900
+125

Brandin Cooks (HOU)
+1500
+225

Mark Ingram (HOU)
+1800
+260

Nico Collins (HOU)
+2500
+350

James Conner (ARI)
+550
-140

DeAndre Hopkins (ARI)
+650
-125

Kyler Murray (ARI)
+750
-105

Khalil Herbert (CHI)
+1400
+200

Allen Robinson II (CHI)
+1400
+200

Damien Williams (CHI)
+1500
+225

Leonard Fournette (TB)
+600
-120

Mike Evans (TB)
+650
-115

Chris Godwin (TB)
+750
+110

Derrick Henry has the best odds to score a touchdown in Week 7 at -225. Rams running back Darrell Henderson is a close second at -215. It’s Henderson who has the best odds to score his game’s first touchdown, though, at +450.

Anytime Touchdown Picks for Week 7

Here’s who I like to find the end zone and why:

Ja’Marr Chase anytime touchdown (+170): Chase has a touchdown in four of six games this season. He only has one in his last three, though, which is (partially) why we’re getting this price. He takes on the Ravens in Week 7, a game where Cincinnati could find themselves in a negative game script. (0.33 units)
Jaylen Waddle anytime touchdown (+175): Waddle found the endzone twice last week, and faces a Falcons defense that has allowed 11 passing touchdowns in just five games. These odds are as short as +140 at other sportsbooks. (0.33 units)
Ryan Tannehill anytime touchdown (+350): Tannehill has two rushing touchdowns this season, one of which came last week. As Derrick Henry continues picking up steam, defenses will sell out to stop him in the red zone. Tannehill will make defenses pay for this with his legs. (0.25 units)
Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown (+150): Hurts has four rushing touchdowns in his last two games and sees a Raiders defense on Sunday that has allowed seven rushing touchdowns in six games. This price is as short as +120 elsewhere. (0.33 units)

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Author: wpadmin

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