Alexander Zverev of Germany returns the ball to Carlos Alcaraz of Spain during their semi final match at the Erste Bank Open ATP tennis tournament in Vienna, Austria, Saturday, Oct. 30, 2021. (AP Photo/Lisa Leutner)
4-seed Alexander Zverev faces 6-seed Casper Ruud in the ATP Paris Masters quarterfinals on Friday (Nov. 5th, 3:50 pm ET)
Zverev earned a hard fought victory over 16-seed Grigor Dimitrov in the Round of 32, while Ruud cruised by Marcos Giron
Read below for odds, analysis and a betting prediction
You’d be hard pressed to find a player on the ATP circuit on a better run than Alexander Zverev these days. The German has captured titles in three of his past five tournaments, including a gold medal performance at the Tokyo Olympics.
The world no. 4 will put his seven-match winning streak on the line Friday at the ATP Paris Masters, in a quarterfinal showdown with 6-seed Casper Ruud.
Ruud vs Zverev Odds
 Casper Ruud
O 21.5 (-200)
 Alexander Zverev
U 21.5 (+140)
Odds as of November 4th at DraftKings.
Zverev opened as a sizeable -255 moneyline favorite, in arguably the most compelling match on Friday’s slate. He’s 1-0 all-time versus Ruud, and is fresh off a hard fought victory over 16-seed Grigor Dimitrov in the Round of 16.
Super Bowl 56 Odds Tracker
Zverev Outlasts Dimitrov
It took 2 hours and 46 minutes, but Zverev was able to oust Dimitrov 7-6, 6-7, 6-3 on Thursday. With the victory, Zverev improved to 3-1 all-time versus Dimitrov, but he nearly let this match slip away.
Alexander Zverev gets a 7th consecutive win, beats Grigor Dimitrov 7-6(4), 6-7(3), 6-3 to reach the QFs in Paris.
Great, great match.
Zverev is 27-2 (!) since the start of the Olympics, only losses to Djokovic and Fritz. pic.twitter.com/E9CEzBminJ
— José Morgado (@josemorgado) November 4, 2021
He was staring at two match points in the second set and squandered them both. He proceeded to lose the set in a tie breaker and then dug himself a hole early in the third. He was down 2-3 in the final set and facing triple break point, but rallied back to win the game. He proceeded to break Dimitrov in the following game for a 4-3 lead, and won the final two games to secure the victory.
His Round of 32 match was far less dramatic, as he disposed of Serbian Dusan Lajovic in straight sets (6-3, 7-6). He’s now 54-13 this season, including 34-7 on hard court.
Ruud Romps Giron
Ruud meanwhile, had a much less eventful Round of 16 match, waxing American Marcos Giron 6-2, 6-1. That followed another easy victory in the Round of 32, when he cruised past Alexander Bublik of Kazakhstan 6-4, 6-0.
With his victory over Giron, Ruud secured his first trip to the Nitto ATP Finals, making history in the progress. He’s the first Norwegian to ever qualify for the prestigious event, and it comes less than two full seasons since he was ranked outside the top-50.
Casper Ruud is going to the ATP Finals! Well deserved after a fantastic season.
— José Morgado (@josemorgado) November 4, 2021
Ruud improved to 27th in the world following the 2020 campaign, and has risen to no. 8 in the world this year. He’s racked up 53 wins in 67 matches, and has made a drastic improvement on his hardcourt play.
Ruud entered the season with a 16-27 career record on hardcourt surfaces, but is now 23-7 on that surface in 2021. Four of his five titles this season have come on clay courts, but he did capture a hardcourt victory in San Diego at an ATP 250 tournament in early October.
Ruud vs Zverev Head-to-Head
Career ATP Singles Titles
No. 8 (2021)
Career High Ranking
No. 3 (2017)
Career Prize Money
2021 Won/Loss record
Career Head to Head
He’s one of only two players this season to win five times, the other being his opponent on Friday Zverev.
Ruud vs Zverev Pick
That being said, there’s a big difference between the titles that Ruud and Zverev have racked up this season. All five of Ruud’s titles came at ATP 250 events, although he does have a pair of semifinal showings at 1000 series tournaments on his 2021 resume.
Zverev on the other hand, has two 1000 series victories and two 500 series victories in addition to his Olympic gold medal. He was a runner-up at this event last season, and beat Ruud in their only official meeting earlier this season.
Like Friday, that match also came in the quarters of a 1000 series hardcourt event in Cincinnati, a tournament Zverev went on to win. He’s 27-2 in his last 29 matches since Wimbledon, all of which have been played on hardcourt.
Ruud’s hardcourt game has made drastic strides, but it still ranks far behind Zverev’s. He’s just 2-4 in his past six 1000 series quarterfinal matches, and while he should be able to push Zverev, he’ll likely fall short.
The one thing Rudd has working in his favor is fresh legs. He’s been on court for only 2 and a half hours this week, which is less time than Zverev spend getting past Dimitrov on Thursday. Look for the Norwegian to extend the match to a deciding set, before Zverev prevails.
Pick: Over 2.5 Sets (+150)