Podcast – Jack Allweil – Gambling With An Edge

 Our guest this week is Jack Allweil.  Jack wrote a book called “Make Better Bets: An Actuary’s Quest to Bet the Russian 2018 FIFA World Cup with Excel.” We talk to Jack about his book, and his experience betting the last World Cup.

[00:00]  introduction Jack Allweil, author of Make Better Bets

[00:35]  Betting on soccer

[03:04]  Using a model with few variables

[05:31]  Time spent on the model, benefits of a passion project

[07:14]  How much data from 2018 will be relevant in 2022?

[09:22]  Other potential variables, like country popularity skewing lines, VAR reviews

[11:16]  Getting bets down

[12:50]  Analyzing the 2018 results

[15:03]  Betting on all four teams in a group

[18:08]  Line shopping

[20:33]  Relocating to bet more easily

[21:58]  How did losing a job change Jack’s life?

[24:20]  Jack’s wife, Elena

[25:52]  Betting other soccer leagues

[27:03]  What’s the next big thing that Jack will be betting on?

[28:38]  South Point Casino January Promotion – $500k Spin to Win

[31:45]  http://VideoPoker.com/gwae – Gold Membership offers correction on most games, free Pro Membership trial for GWAE listeners

[32:58]  Choosing the name Make Better Bets

[34:59]  Kelly criteria

[37:26]  Betting as a married man

[39:33]  Brothers on Books podcast

[40:53]  Contacting Jack

[41:47]  Recommended:  Cryptonomicon by Neal Stephenson, Libby app for libraries, Wall Street Bets by Jaime Rogozinski

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Author: wpadmin

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