Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev Odds & Prediction

Novak Djokovic, Daniil Medvedev, handshakes

Novak Djokovic, of Serbia, left, congratulates Daniil Medvedev, of Russia, after Medvedev won the men’s singles final of the US Open tennis championships, Sunday, Sept. 12, 2021, in New York. (AP Photo/John Minchillo)

The No. 1 and No. 2 seeds will meet in the Paris Masters singles final, Sunday at 9 am ET
Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev is a rematch of the 2021 US Open final
Djokovic is a very slight favorite, but probably not in the better form; We break it down

After seven weeks off after the US Open, Novak Djokovic returned at the Paris Masters with one goal in mind.

Reach the final, and the Serbian star would clinch the year-end No. 1 ranking for the seventh time in his career.

For two decades, Pete Sampras – Djokovic’s childhood hero – had held that record, with six year-end No. 1s.

Mission accomplished. Now, Djokovic has to, as he put it Saturday, “turn the page” and go after another Masters 1000 title.

Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev Odds

Player
Spread
Moneyline
Total

[1] Novak Djokovic (SRB)
-1.5 (+205)
-105
O 23.5 (+100)

[2] Daniil Medvedev (RUS)
+1.5 (-285)
-115
U 23.5 (-125)

Odds as of Nov. 6 at DraftKings

Nervy Paris Moments for Djokovic vs Hurkacz

With a first-round bye and a walkover against Gaël Monfils, Djokovic had just two matches in his legs when he faced No. 7 seed Hubert Hurkacz in Saturday’s Paris semifinal.

Generally, he looked good. Except for two nervous stretches that well could have cost him the match.

At the end of the first set, Djokovic was quickly broken seemingly out of nowhere. And just as suddenly, Hurkacz served out the first set.

How does history feel, @DjokerNole?#RolexParisMasters pic.twitter.com/9kiwwfUASF

— ROLEX PARIS MASTERS (@RolexPMasters) November 6, 2021

Djokovic then got going.

He dropped a bagel on Hurkacz and ran out to a 4-2 lead in the third set. And then, suddenly, another nervy moment. Suddenly it was even again.

And Djokovic needed to play a very good deciding tiebreak to close out Hurkacz, and seal the year-end No. 1.

Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev Head-to-Head

34 (May 22, 1987)
Age
25 (Feb. 11, 1996)

Belgrade, Serbia
Birthplace
Moscow, Russia

6-2
Height
6-6

85
Career ATP Singles Titles
13

No. 1 (July 4, 2011)
Career High Ranking
No. 2 (March 15, 2021)

No. 1
Current Ranking
No. 2

$153,120,635
Career Prize Money
$419,885,705

48-6
2021 Won/Loss record
54-11

5
Career Head to Head
4

Medvedev Far too Good for Zverev in Paris

If the closeness of the Djokovic-Hurkacz match was a surprise, the way Medvedev dismissed world No. 4 Alexander Zverev was arguably an even bigger shocker.

Zverev led their head-to-head 5-4, even though Medvedev had won their last three encounters including last year’s Paris final.

But the German, who looked solid in beating Casper Ruud in straight sets the previous day, had absolutely no answers on Saturday in the semifinals.

From Paris with Love 🥰@DjokerNole @DaniilMedwed pic.twitter.com/yHU4SDhHs8

— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) November 6, 2021

Even if the match took an hour and 20 minutes, Medvedev won it going away: 6-2, 6-2.

Zverev couldn’t make a dent either on the return (just 36 per cent of second-serve return points won, 0-for-3 on break chances) or on his own serve (broken four times in five opportunities).

Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev Match History

Year
Tournament
Surface
Score
Winner

2021
US Open (F)
Outdoor Hard
6-4, 6-4, 6-4
Medvedev

2021
Australian Open (F)
Outdoor Hard
7-5, 6-2, 6-2
Djokovic

2020
ATP Finals (RR)
Indoor Hard
6-3, 6-3
Medvedev

2020
ATP Cup (SF)
Outdoor Hard
6-1, 5-7, 6-4
Djokovic

2019
Cincinnati (SF)
Outdoor Hard
3-6, 6-3, 6-3
Medvedev

2019
Monte Carlo (QF)
Outdoor Clay
6-3, 4-6, 6-2
Medvedev

2019
Australian Open (R16)
Outdoor Hard
6-4, 6-7 (5), 6-2, 6-3
Djokovic

2017
Eastbourne (SF)
Grass
6-4, 6-4
Djokovic

2017
Davis Cup (1R)
Indoor Hard
3-6, 6-4, 6-1, 1-0 retd
Djokovic

Rematch of the Historic US Open Final

Djokovic was going for history in the US Open final in September. He’d won the first three Grand Slam titles of the season, and was going for the very rare calendar Slam.

Was he tight? Tighter than tight. And Medvedev, who had offered Djokovic little resistance in the Australian Open final back in February, was determined not to have history repeat itself.

The result was a crushing disappointment for Djokovic.

Medvedev is now a Grand Slam champion. And having that accomplishment off his to-do list can only make him even better.

The tall Russian has been playing better than Djokovic this week. Other than a few brain freezes against the tricky lefty Hugo Gaston (and the partisan crowd), he has played champion’s tennis.

Djokovic has now accomplished job No. 1 in Paris. No doubt he’s still hungry to win his sixth Paris Masters title. But it’s also possible the edge has been taken off a little – especially after using up so much physical and mental energy in defeating Hurkacz on Saturday.

You would expect Medvedev to come out on fire. And while it’s likely Djokovic will respond and take it the distance, it feels like Medvedev’s match – and title – to win.

Best Bet: Medvedev in three sets (+350)

Author: wpadmin

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