NFL – NFL Week 10 Line Movement

Josh Allen running out of the pocket

Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) looks for a receiver during the second half of an NFL football game against the Jacksonville Jaguars, Sunday, Nov. 7, 2021, in Jacksonville, Fla. (AP Photo/Phelan M. Ebenhack)

Week 10 of the NFL season got underway with Thursday’s Baltimore Ravens-Miami Dolphins game
Which betting line has moved the most since opening? What’s the smallest spread of the week?
All of the wagering information on every NFL game is listed below

What are the odds that Week 10 of the NFL season will prove to be as wild and as wacky as Week 9? Everyone loves an upset and during Week 9, there were enough shocking upsets to topple the proverbial applecart.

Everyone had the 4-4 Denver Broncos dumping the 7-1 Dallas Cowboys, right? Or the 1-6 Jacksonville Jaguars not only beating the 5-2 Buffalo Bills, but holding the NFL’s #1 scoring offense out of the end zone?

What can Week 10 do to match that level of shock and awe? Well, the winless Detroit Lions, coming off their by week, are in Pittsburgh to face the Steelers. The reigning Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers are facing the 2-6 Football Team in Washington. That’s where the Bucs launched their postseason Super Bowl drive last season.

There are also a couple of great traditional rivalries on tap. The Raiders face the Chiefs and the Rams tangle with the 49ers.

Which games are looking to be the biggest movers and shakers in NFL Week 9 line movement?

Let’s look at that. First, though, check out how the NFL betting lines are moving for Week 10.

NFL Week 10 Odds

Matchup
Opening Spread
Current Spread
Opening Total
Current Total

Ravens vs Dolphins
BAL -7
BAL -8.5
48.5
46.5

Jaguars vs. Colts
IND-10
IND -10.5
48
47.5

Browns vs Patriots
NE-2.5
NE-1.5
45.5
45

Falcons vs Cowboys
DAL-9.5
DAL-9
51.5
54.5

Bills vs Jets
BUF-13.5
BUF-12
48.5
48

Saints vs Titans
TEN -2.5
TEN-2.5
OFF
44.5

Buccaneers vs Washington
TB-8.5
TB-9..5
51.5
51.5

Lions vs Steelers
PGH-8.5
PGH-8.5
43
42.5

Vikings vs Chargers
LAC-2.5
LAC -3
51.5
53

Panthers vs Cardinals
OFF
ARI-10
OFF
44

Seahawks vs Packers
OFF
GB-3.5
OFF
49.5

Eagles vs Broncos
DEN-1.5
DEN -2.5
44.5
45.5

Chiefs vs Raiders
KC-2.5
KC-2.5
51
52.5

Rams vs 49ers
LAR -4.5
LAR -4
48.5
49

Odds as of November 11th at FanDuel.

NFL Betting Trends Still Backing Bills

It would appear that both oddsmakers and NFL bettors are looking upon Buffalo’s loss at Jacksonville as the exception and not the rule. Still, there is just enough skepticism in the Bills to cause a shift in the betting line on Sunday’s game at MetLife Stadium against their AFC East rivals the New York Jets.

Perhaps it’s a belief in the magic of Mike White, who two weeks ago led the Jets to just their second victory of the season, a home win over the Cincinnati Bengals. He’s back to health and starting over 2021 first-round pick Zach Wilson.

Mike White will get the start on Sunday against the Bills pic.twitter.com/ybT6ipKnve

— Optimistic Jets (@OptimisticJets) November 10, 2021

Perhaps these elements are conspiring together to shorten the betting line of this game from Buffalo -135 to Bills -12. That’s the biggest point spread move of Week 10.

NFL Bettors Liking Cowboys To Light It Up

Like Buffalo, Dallas is seeking to rebound from being roughed up. A 30-16 loss to the Broncos ended the seven-game win streak that the Cowboys had been riding.

Amari Cooper
Falcons at Cowboys 2020 Week 2#DallasCowboys #CowboysNation #CowboysFam pic.twitter.com/Wpm4uq7LJe

— Sohe Coop (6-2) (@SoheCoop) November 10, 2021

At home again for a matchup with the Atlanta Falcons, NFL betting trends are expecting the scoreboard at AT&T Stadium to get a workout.  The total on this game opened at 51.5 points. It’s jumped to 54.5. That’s the biggest total movement among the 14 games on tap this week.

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Patriots Games Getting Interesting

Buffalo’s losses are New England’s gains. At 5-4, the Pats are now looming large in the Bills’ rear-view mirror atop the AFC East.

This may be the most intriguing matchup of Week 10. The incoming Cleveland Browns are arriving off a 41-16 drubbing of the Bengals. At the season’s outset, no one anticipated this being a game with significant playoff implications for both squads.

Browns’ RBs Nick Chubb and Demetric Felton tested positive for COVID-19, sources tell ESPN.

Both players are vaccinated, thus their status for Sunday’s game against New England remains in question. Each player would need two negative tests 24 hours apart to play.

— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) November 9, 2021

The line has shortened from New England -2.5 to Patriots -1.5. That’s the shortest spread of the week, even though Browns #1 running back Nick Chubb has entered COVID-19 protocol.

Be Wary Of Paying (Or Playing) Bills

The Bills opened with the biggest spread of the week over the Jets at 13.5 points. That it’s shortened more than any other betting line, and still remains the largest spread of the week, tells you how big it was.

Up Next: Bills at Jets @ MetLife Stadium pic.twitter.com/lscglJb3n7

— (@TreDay_27) November 7, 2021

Don’t go jumping all over the Bills at that number, however. Buffalo is 0-2-1 against the spread over the past three games. In the last five Bills-Jets game, the average margin of victory was six points.

Lions Keep Going Lower

In their season-opening loss to the 49ers, the Detroit Lions scored 33 points. The 0-8 Lions haven’t put up any better than 17 points in a game since. In their last game against the Philadelphia Eagles, they were held to a season-low six points.

The Pittsburgh Steelers exploded for a season-best 29 points in Monday’s win over the Chicago Bears. The Lions were only able to score 14 on the Bears.

The last time the Lions beat the Steelers in Pittsburgh was in 1955. The Steelers and Lions tied in Pittsburgh in 1959. #Steelers

— Blitzburgh 🦃 (@BlitzVideos) November 10, 2021

Four times this season, Pittsburgh’s been held under 20 points. Both the Steelers (15-10 win over Cleveland) and the Lions (19-17 loss to Baltimore), have played in games this season in which neither team scored 20 points.

No wonder then that this is the game with the smallest total of Week 10. It opened at 43 points and has shrunk to 42.5.

Expect This One To Add Up

The Cowboys-Falcons game is also checking in as the largest total of Week 10. Recent history suggest that even at 54.5 points, the over is a good bet.

Week 2, 2020: Cowboys 40, Falcons 39 pic.twitter.com/5LumynFqLQ

— Jon Machota (@jonmachota) November 11, 2021

Atlanta and Dallas met in Week 2 last season. It was 20-0 Falcons after one quarter and 39-24 Atlanta with five minutes left in regulation. Dallas rallied for a 40-39 victory.

Author: wpadmin

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