Lazio’s Sergej Milinkovic-Savic celebrates after scoring his side’s third goal during the Serie A soccer match between Lazio and Inter Milan at Rome’s Olympic stadium, Saturday, Oct. 16, 2021. (AP Photo/Alessandra Tarantino)
Lazio host Fiorentina in the 10th Matchday of Italy’s Serie A, on Wednesday, October 27th, at 2:45 pm EST
These two mid-table Italian sides are currently only separated by one point in the table, sitting in seventh and eighth place, respectively
Get the odds, our analysis and betting prediction below
Serie A is picking up steam, as the tenth round of matches takes place during the middle of the week. One of the matches to keep your eye on is between Lazio and Fiorentina at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome.
This is a massive mid-table fixture and is one that both Lazio and Fiorentina will desperately want to see three points in. We have said it time and time again this year, the Serie A’s Scudetto and Champions League spots are up for grabs this season. While AC Milan sits in first, Roma in fourth and Juventus somehow in sixth. It is already evident that the Serie A table will be decided by inches and will surely have some surprises.
Currently, Lazio and Fiorentina currently six in eighth and seventh place. However, with 29 matches remaining they have plenty of time to make up space in the table. In the end, it will be the matches against the other big Italian sides that really make the difference, which is why this match is so important.
Lazio vs Fiorentina Odds
Lazio vs Fiorentina
LAZ -0.5 (-105) | FIO +0.5 (-110)
LAZ -110 | FIO +310 | DRAW +260
Ov 3.5 (+165) | Un 3.5 (-210)
Odds as of Oct 26th at DraftKings
Fiorentina’s Point Total is Inflated by Competition
Let us get one thing clear right from the start; Fiorentina are fortunate to be where they are in the table right now. After winning three of their first four matches, Serie A pundits already had Fiorentina down as one of the early surprises of the season.
But, since then, Vincenzo Italiano’s side has lost three out of their last five games in Serie A. Keep in mind, Fiorentina have only had one cup match so far this year and oftentimes get a midweek break as they do not play abroad.
SQUAD LIST | 📄
The Viola players to face Lazio ⚜️
Powered by #Tomkettires#ForzaViola 💜 #LazioFiorentina pic.twitter.com/tt7trODZdR
— ACF Fiorentina English (@ACFFiorentinaEN) October 26, 2021
Furthermore, it is also extremely evident that their wins so far have come against weaker opponents. So far, I Viola has only played four teams in the top half of the Serie A table. In those four games, they lost three, with the only win coming against a volatile Atalanta side.
Also, they lost their fourth game of the season against Venezia, who has only mustered eight points this year. Regardless, the point is that Fiorentina have not faced many teams with the ability of Lazio this season, and when they have, it has not gone well.
2021 Serie A Odds Tracker
Dusan Vlahovic is a Threat for Fiorentina
With all of that being said, Fiorentina do have a player Lazio and Mauricio Sarri will have to game plan for. That player is 21-year-old striker, Dusan Vlahovic of Serbia. This year makes Vlahovic’s fourth at the club, and he has already made quite the name for himself. In fact, last year he netted 21 times, a feat that he is on pace to match this year.
Lazio vs Fiorentina Serie A Statistics
Goals per game
Goals conceded per game
Passing Accuracy %
Shots per game
Vlahovic is Fiorentina’s main attacking option so Lazio’s center-back pairing of Francesco Acerbi and Luiz Felipe needs to be prepared. Lazio does not have the best history against the youngster, as he bagged goals in both of their meetings last season.
Most league goals scored by U23 players in Europe’s top five divisions since the start of last season:
◎ Erling Haaland (36)
◎ Kylian Mbappé (32)
◉ Dušan Vlahović (26)
And he’s just scored the first free-kick of his Serie A career. 🎯 pic.twitter.com/ZBis25DN6s
— Squawka Football (@Squawka) October 24, 2021
Can Sarri Regain Lazio’s Focus?
Moreover, the problem with Lazio this season has been their consistency levels.
At the start of the season, after scoring nine goals in two matches, they were held to clean sheets in their next two. Again, following two massive wins against Roma and Lokomotiv Moscow, they dropped a 3-0 stinker to Bologna in the Serie A.
Finally, just this week after an incredible victory against Inter Milan, they dropped points to Marseille in the Europa League and lost again in Serie A to Verona.
As a result, Lazio are failing to hit the levels they should be at under Sarri. With players like Ciro Immobile, Felipe Anderson and Sergej Milinkovic-Savic they should easily be near the top of the Serie A table. This match against Fiorentina is one they should win, but Sarri will have to do something to motivate this group of players.
Ciro Immobile in Serie A this season:
◉ Most touches in opp. box
◉ Most shots
◉ Most shots on target
◉ Highest xG
◉ Most Goals
He’s looking to win the Capocannoniere for a third time. 🏆
— Squawka Football (@Squawka) October 26, 2021
Lazio vs Fiorentina Best Bet
Overall, the best bet for this match is still the Lazio moneyline with odds of -110. This bet has good value, and this head-to-head fixture is one Lazio has won six times out of the last ten. Additionally, Lazio has won the last four meetings that took place in Rome.
Pick: Lazio moneyline (-110)