Nov 14, 2021; Landover, Maryland, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady (12) stands on the field against the Washington Football Team at FedExField. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
Tampa Bay tries to snap a 2-game skid as they host the Giants on MNF
Monday Betting Record: 0-1 ML; 3-5 ATS; 2-1 O/U; -2.96 units
Read below for odds, analysis and a betting prediction
You have to go back to 2002 for the last time a Tom Brady-led team dropped three games in row.
Now in his second year in Tampa Bay, Brady will try to stop the Buccaneers’ 2-game skid against a visiting New York Giants team that has finally started to find a formula to winning football.
This Monday Night matchup features two teams in different races: the G-Men are still within range of a Wild Card, but at 3-6, can’t really afford to fall four games under .500.
Meanwhile, after a blistering 6-1 start, the Bucs are now fading behind the Packers and Cardinals for the top seed in the NFC.
Kickoff goes at 8:15pm ET from Raymond James Stadium. The game can be seen live on ESPN. The Bucs are a large 11-point home favorite in Week 11.
Giants vs Buccaneers Odds
New York Giants
O 49.5 (-110)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
U 49.5 (-110)
Odds as of Nov 21st at DraftKings.
Buccaneers’ Recent Results
Tampa Bay lost in a 36-27 shootout to journeyman Trevor Siemian in New Orleans, and that was followed up with an upset in DC, as the Bucs dropped a 29-19 decision to the Washington Football Team, led by backup Taylor Heinecke.
PJ WILLIAMS WITH THE PICK TO TOUCHDOWN!!!#TBvsNO | 📺: FOX pic.twitter.com/2xCfZOCIGY
— New Orleans Saints (@Saints) October 31, 2021
Tom Brady was uncharacteristically loose in the passing game, throwing two interceptions in each contest, when he had thrown just three picks in the previous seven games.
While Brady’s picks against the Saints cost them a short field and a return score for a TD, the defense could not stop a Washington attack when it mattered most.
TD de Antonio Gibson 👌🏈
Heinicke y el WFT le van a ganar al GOAT 😎
📺: @FOXSportsMX#NFLMX #WashingtonFootball pic.twitter.com/EeuXfcFh3k
— NFL México (@nflmx) November 14, 2021
With the score 23-19 and the Football Team on their own 20, Washington proceeded to run a game-killing, 19-play, 80-yard drive that milked 10:26 of fourth-quarter clock. It ended with an Antonio Gibson major that salted the game away.
Lauded for their offensive depth, the effects of extended absences of both Rob Gronkowski and Antonio Brown are starting to show. AB (ankle), has already been ruled out, while Gronk (back) didn’t practice this week and is listed as questionable Monday.
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Giants’ Recent Results
Following a brutal 1-5 start to the season, it’s the Giants’ defense that has brought them into position to go on a run to save what looked like a lost season.
Xavier McKinney brings it back for the Pick-6 ⚡️
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) November 7, 2021
The G-Men have surrendered just 39 points the last three games, allowing them to go 2-1 in those contests.
It started with a dominating 25-3 win over the Panthers. They lost a close one to the Kansas City Chiefs 20-17, failing to hold onto a 17-14 fourth quarter lead.
They bounced back in Week 10 with a 23-16 win over the Raiders. New York’s ability to get off the field on third down has been a recurring theme to their success. Carolina was just 2-for-15, KC was 5-for-12 and Vegas was just 4-for-12 on that key down the previous three weeks.
Making it look @eazyengram 😎 pic.twitter.com/bj8wb2znEQ
— New York Giants (@Giants) November 10, 2021
Daniel Jones has been solid, if not unspectacular during this stretch. He hasn’t thrown for more than 222 yards in any game, but he’s completing 71.2% of his passes, while throwing for four TD’s against one interception.
The Giants could also be welcoming back Saquon Barkley to the mix. Barkley has been out the last four games with an ankle injury.
Tampa Bay vs New York Trends
The last two head-to-head matchups have been split, but it’s been the Giants who have been the surprisingly frisky opponent. Pre-Brady, Jones made his debut in 2019 and rallied New York from an 18-point deficit to win in Tampa Bay.
Danny Dimes debut 👏 #TBT pic.twitter.com/ilGThOpXrP
— New York Giants (@Giants) November 18, 2021
Last year, New York led going into the fourth quarter, and scored a TD with 28 seconds left to play to cut the lead to 25-23, but couldn’t hit the two-point conversion to lose.
Tampa Bay is just 3-6 ATS this season, but they are a solid 3-1 ATS at home. The G-Men, meanwhile are 3-1 ATS on the road, and they’ve been the underdog in each of those games.
Giants vs Buccaneers Pick
Tampa Bay is one of two teams entering Week 11 to be undefeated at home, where they are 4-0. Assuming Brady returns to form at Raymond James and cuts down the turnovers, it’s hard to pick against him.
But that line is scary, considering how the Giants have performed as of late and in recent head-to-heads.
Pick: Giants +11 (1 unit to win 0.87 units )