Braves vs Dodgers Game 5 Odds, Predictions, and Picks

Atlanta Braves' Eddie Rosario hitting a homer

Atlanta Braves’ Eddie Rosario hits a solo home run during the second inning in Game 4 of baseball’s National League Championship Series against the Los Angeles Dodgers Wednesday, Oct. 20, 2021, in Los Angeles. (AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez)

The Dodgers are -136 home favorites over the Braves in NLCS Game 5 on Thursday night
Max Fried (14-7, 3.04) will start for the Braves and Corey Knebel (4-0, 2.45) will open for the Dodgers
The matchup and odds can be found below with a prediction

The visiting Atlanta Braves will try to close out the National League Championship Series when they play the Los Angeles Dodgers in Game 5 at 8:08 pm ET, Thursday, at Dodger Stadium.

The Braves moved to the brink of winning the pennant on Wednesday night when they rolled to a 9-2 victory in Game 4. That gives Atlanta a 3-1 lead in the best-of-seven series.

The Braves (94-75, 48-37 road) won for the sixth time in their last seven games. The Dodgers (111-61, 61-25 home) are 4-5 since an eight-game winning streak.

Braves vs Dodgers Odds

Team
Moneyline
Runline
Total

Atlanta Braves
+116
OFF
OFF

Los Angeles Dodgers
-136
OFF
OFF

Odds as of October 21st at FanDuel.

Probable Pitchers

Max Fried (14-7, 3.04) will pitch for the Braves while Corey Knebel (4-0, 2.45) is expected to be the opener in a bullpen game for the Dodgers.

The Braves called on Fried in Game 1 of this series and he went six innings without getting a decision. He allowed two runs, scattered eight hits, struck out five and walked none.

Fried vs Knebel

14-7
Record
4-0

3.04
ERA
2.45

3.49
xERA
2.96

1.08
WHIP
0.97

3.85
SO/W
3.33

Fried is 8-0 with a 1.47 ERA in his last 13 starts and hasn’t lost since July 28 against the Mets in New York. He has also reeled off 14 consecutive quality starts.

Max Fried, 95mph Paint. 🖌️🎨 pic.twitter.com/7gTt26mxoa

— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) October 17, 2021

Overall, Fried has 21 QS in 30 outings this season and the Braves are 20-10 when he pitches. Fried is 8-4 with a 2.93 ERA in 15 road starts and has a 9-6 record at night and a 2.89 ERA in 20 starts.

Fried will be making his fourth start of the year against the Dodgers and is 1-0 with a 2.50 ERA. However, he has a 1-3 career record against them with a 3.68 ERA in 12 games (eight starts).

The Los Angeles-area native is 0-1 with a 6.23 ERA in four games (two starts) at Dodger Stadium. In 14 postseason games, including six starts, Fried is 1-1 with a 3.21 ERA.

Knebel last pitched in relief in Game 3 on Tuesday and allowed one run in 0.1 innings. He has opened six times this year, including twice in the postseason, and has pitched two innings once and one inning five times.

Knebel has pitched well at home this season with a 3-0 record and 1.54 ERA in 13 games. He is 4-0 at night with a 3.32 ERA in 23 games.

Corey Knebel, Wicked 81mph Knuckle Curve. 🤢 pic.twitter.com/jwhsflabXt

— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) October 15, 2021

Against the Braves, Knebel has decisions in 12 career games and a 4.09 ERA. He has a 9.00 ERA against them in 2021 in three games.

Knebel has a fine track record in the postseason with a 1-0 record and 1.98 ERA in 14 games.

Dodgers Lose Turner

Dodgers third baseman Justin Turner will not play again in the postseason after straining his left hamstring in Game 4.  When Justin Turner was out of the lineup in Game 3 because of a neck soreness, Chris Taylor started at the hot corner.

Batting Averages vs Starting Pitchers

Braves Batters
Batting Average vs Knebel
Dodgers Batters
Batting Average vs Fried

Dansby Swanson
1.000
Austin Barnes
.500

Ozzie Albies
.500
Justin Turner
.421

Freddie Freeman
.333
Trea Turner
.375

Adam Duvall
.200
Cody Bellinger
.286

Eddie Rosario
.200
AJ Pollock
.267

Joc Pederson
.000
Will Smith
.214

Ehire Adrianza
.000
Corey Seager
.200

Austin Riley
.000
Chris Taylor
.182

Johan Camargo
.000
Albert Pujols
.167

Mookie Betts
.133

Gavin Lux
.000

Steven Souza Jr.
.000

Turner has had success against Fried, going 8 for 19 with one double and two home runs. In 151 games during the regular season, Turner batted .278/.361/.471 with 27 home runs.

Second baseman Trea Turner has gone 9 for 24 with a double and a homer against Fried. Perhaps Trea Turner should steal the nickname “Dr. Smooth” from Houston Astros left fielder Michael Brantley.

Trea Turner did another Trea Turner slide #Dodgers pic.twitter.com/ydp9jU2HhP

— Jon Weisman (@jonweisman) September 22, 2021

Fried has been tough on right fielder Mookie Betts, holding him to two hits in 15 at-bats.

Braves first baseman Freddie Freeman is 2 for 6 off Knebel with a double and homer. Right fielder Joc Pederson, though, is 0 for 5.

Braves vs Dodgers Pick

The Braves ended their ten-game losing streak at Dodger Stadium  in Game 4 and also improved to 5-5 against the Dodgers overall this year. Los Angeles still holds a 30-17 advantage over Atlanta since the start of the 2017 season.

Eddie Rosario led the way for the Braves in Game 4 as he had two home runs among his four hits. It was the left fielder’s second four-hit game of the series.

Smothered and covered 😋@EddieRosario09 | #BattleATL pic.twitter.com/P60kxQzLf3

— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) October 21, 2021

The Dodgers have been here before, rallying from a 3-1 deficit against the Braves to win last year’s NLCS. However, the feeling is different this time as the Dodgers are beat up and Fried has been dominant for almost three months.

Look for the Braves to close the series out in five.

The Pick: Braves moneyline (+116)

Author: wpadmin

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