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AC Milan vs Inter Milan Odds & Prediction

AC Milan's Zlatan Ibrahimovic

AC Milan’s Zlatan Ibrahimovic, right, jumps for the ball with Inter Milan’s Milan Skriniar during the Serie A soccer match between AC Milan and Inter Milan at the San Siro stadium, in Milan, Italy, Sunday, Feb. 21, 2021. (AP Photo/Antonio Calanni)

AC Milan host Inter Milan in Serie A’s Matchday 12 on Sunday, November 7th, at 2:45 pm EST
The Rossoneri currently are level on 31 points with Napoli at the top of the Serie A table, while Inter Milan are seven points back in third place
Get the odds, our analysis and betting prediction below

Serie A’s Matchday 12 features a battle between two Italian heavyweights, AC Milan and Inter Milan. This fixture represents the 229th official meeting of the two Milan sides, a game dubbed the Derby della Madonnina.

This rivalry is one of the oldest crosstown football battles in European soccer, with their first match coming all the way back in 1909. One-hundred and twelve years later, the rivalry between AC Milan and Inter Milan has not lost a touch of its beauty or feistiness.

Furthermore, Sunday’s meeting takes place at the home of both teams, the San Siro. It should be a jaw-dropping occasion as well, with both AC Milan and Inter Milan vying for this year’s Scudetto. As Juventus find themselves on the ropes again this season, it looks as though a famous derby has been restored to its previous glory and prestige.

AC Milan vs Inter Milan Odds

Matchup
Spread
Moneyline
Total

AC Milan vs Inter Milan
ACM +0.5 (-140) | INT -0.5 (+120)
ACM +215 | INT +125 | DRAW +260
Ov 2.5 (-145) | Un 2.5 (+120)

Odds as of Nov 5th at DraftKings

Inter Milan’s Offense is Fine Without Romelu Lukaku

Firstly, let us talk about the defending Italian champions, Inter Milan. They are a side that was brought to life last season by Antonio Conte, fulfilling every Nerazzurri fan’s wildest dreams. Now, they are managed by Simone Inzaghi and have not quite got to their top levels of last season.

However, this was not to expected, considering they lost Romelu Lukaku, Achraf Hakimi and Matteo Politano. At the start of the season, with their financial struggles, it was every for every fan and pundit to put them by the wayside. Specifically, the loss of Lukaku was one that felt insurmountable, given his goal tally last season.

2022 Serie A Odds Tracker

But, after 11 games in Serie A they have scored a blistering 28 goals. Their defense has not quite gotten up to speed, but they are a serious threat on the front foot. In fact, last season after the same number of games they had only scored one more goal.

While Lukaku is gone, they have replaced his goal scoring with Edin Dzeko, who came on a free transfer from Roma. At 35 years of age, the Bosnian Diamond still lives up to his nickname, with seven Serie A goals already to his name. Lautaro Martinez will line up next to him in their 3-5-2 formation, which gives AC Milan a mighty task in defense.

Inter Milan CEO Giuseppe Marotta on Romelu Lukaku:

“Lukaku was sold for €115M and we bought Dzeko for free. On the pitch, there isn’t much difference. Lukaku left to double his salary, in Italy these figures can’t exist.”

[@Corriere via @footballitalia]

— Absolute Chelsea (@AbsoluteChelsea) October 22, 2021

AC Milan’s Peculiar Start

Conversely, AC Milan have had quite an odd start to their campaign. Despite being in second place, only trailing Napoli on goal difference, they play in Europe has been dreadful. In a way, it almost takes away from their thrilling success domestically. In four Champions League games so far, they have only taken away one point. Moreover, at times they looked simply out of their depth.

AC Milan vs Inter Milan Serie A Statistics

2.27
Goals per game
2.55

0.91
Goals conceded per game
1.45

54.3%
Possession %
53.1%

84.5%
Passing Accuracy %
85.3%

14.2
Shots per game
15.5

Nonetheless, they have already played five of the top ten teams in Serie A, winning four of those matches. The one game they have dropped points in domestically so far this season was against Juventus. In turn, you probably just have to chalk their poor play abroad up to inexperience and fatigue.

🎙️ Riccardo #Montolivo to #DAZN: “#TheoHernandez? We will miss him a lot against #Inter. He is one of the few players who influence the defensive phase of the opponents when he starts you can’t stop him, he has an impressive specific weight” : pic.twitter.com/4ThBKqH5wL

— Milan Posts (@MilanPosts) November 2, 2021

As AC Milan come off another disappointing draw against Porto, they will also be without two key players. Both Brahim Diaz and Theo Hernandez are missed for this match which could provide some areas of exploitation for Inzaghi.

The H2H Results

Finally, since the rivalries inception, this match leans slightly in the favor of Inter Milan. The sides have played 228 times, with Inter winning 84 and AC Milan winning 77.

Recently, this advantage has been furthered by the Nerazzurri, as they have won seven out of the last ten. To make things worse, they have outscored their Milanese rivals 19-9 over the same span of matches.

AC Milan vs Inter Milan Best Bet

Overall, the best bet for this match is the Inter Milan moneyline at +125. Both of these teams have plus odds which makes the moneyline a great pick for this fixture. Inter have got the best over AC Milan as of late, and I think this is where they start to turn the corner in their title defense.

Pick: Inter Milan moneyline (+125)

Author: wpadmin

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